oddsmith.Join free pilot ↗
THE ALL-TIME RECORD

Every pick.
Accounted for.

Public research tracking begins November 8, 2026. All tracked spotlight picks count. Historical backtests are separate from this forward record.

All time · NFL · model v0.3.1
SNAPSHOT / GAMELOCKED SELECTIONREFERENCE PRICESTATUS / SCORENET UNITS

How the record works

One unit risked per pick at the locked decimal reference price. Wins return odds minus one; losses cost one unit. Pushes return the stake and count in settled stakes. Voids are excluded from ROI and win rate. Win rate uses wins ÷ (wins + losses). These are theoretical reference-price returns, not verified sportsbook fills or customer profit.

No moving the goalposts

Results use final scores including overtime. The published selection, line, price and model version stay fixed. Every settlement or correction is retained in the audit history. A revised forecast must be a new dated snapshot. The spotlight ledger keeps its original three published wagers. The all-positive-EV comparison and full-slate score accuracy are separately labeled research views.

Update history

No result updates have been recorded. The original picks remain pending.

No saved spotlight result review yet. The page refreshes every minute. Automatic checks use ESPN final scores; pending games never count as wins.